Back in indyref, we laughed at the idea of a silent majority that was going to whip our asses. But, sadly, they did.
Now we want to whip their asses in return and kick Labour et al. where it'll hurt for a generation. The latest Ashcroft polls show that Jim Murphy's East Renfrewshire seat will be an SNP win, with the SNP now on 40% of the vote there and Labour on just 31%.
So our whip-ass dream looks to be coming true and our biggest scalp will be Murphy's.
But is there an angry majority just off stage, waiting quietly for their moment to pounce? Some of my NO voting friends now turn into venom-spitting snakes when ever the SNP are mentioned. Unionist rags spout anti-SNP filth, now demonising Nicola Sturgeon as the most evil woman in politics.
40% of the vote for the SNP in Murphy's own backyard is a great moral boost for us Yessers but it also means that there are 60% of his constituents who don't want to see the SNP gain power. In the referendum, these same people were largely silent until the day of the referendum.
Now, they are silent and angry that us 45ers just didn't roll over and die. We had a cause to fight for and it made us loud and happy - just as we are loud and happy in this campaign. But I fear the angry majority will let their anger cloud their judgement on the day and tactically vote the SNP out.
Unfortunately, Murphy's scalp may yet be saved...
As with all Labour seats they'll be a generational vote for them and an element of tactical voting for the 'SNPout' likeliest candidate to beat the SNP. (Tories voting for Labour, Labour voting Tory etc.). So it will be very hard for the SNP to pull off the huge win predicted in the polls.
ReplyDeleteAs long as the SNP pull off 30+ seats and defacto become the voice of Scotland then it will be a huge victory.
Murphy may just survive by his fingertips - though the latest Ashcroft polling in his constituency predicts a bigger SNP win - but I predict that those angry No voters will be apoplectic after the Westminster election result and Scotland votes for the SNP.
Lol, hadn't thought of their reaction on May 8th - the apoplectic majority will be a fun sight to see :)
ReplyDeleteRecent opinion polls showed Yes for Scottish independence narrowly outstripped the No votes. It's doubtful that they are the current majority.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/politics/exclusive-bombshell-daily-record-poll-5366657
Without the relentless Project Fear machinery at work, perhaps Scotland is re-discovering its optimism. But it's on a knife-edge. If Murphy and the media whip up the hysteria in the final week, we may see the scared pensioners flee back to the perceived safety of Scottish Labour... :(
DeleteWe're already in the midst of Project Fear 2 and its not working! Yes, it will only get worse - as the polls don't shift, and the nearer we get to the vote - but I think, this time, it won't work.
ReplyDelete